Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 13.467868 15.412005 17.484358 19.851851 22.475496 25.287783 28.523960
2025-11-02 10.443855 13.010600 15.932807 19.483350 23.656778 28.382209 34.111536
2025-11-09 8.541729 11.373493 14.765684 19.083322 24.383500 30.626414 38.480228
2025-11-16 7.185436 10.140589 13.839543 18.736561 24.968746 32.550202 42.375660
2025-11-23 6.046201 9.010260 12.874334 18.176421 25.145628 33.868665 45.470297
2025-11-30 5.370282 8.398109 12.488499 18.277228 26.098103 36.124297 49.749424
2025-12-07 4.796081 7.851541 12.120049 18.336607 26.949809 38.234081 53.868474
2025-12-14 4.348750 7.431989 11.875889 18.520712 27.940452 40.524736 58.263829
2025-12-21 3.919072 6.988072 11.548693 18.544057 28.680273 42.474728 62.237967
2025-12-28 3.662768 6.782798 11.546172 19.017084 30.049472 45.303977 67.463549
2026-01-04 3.397582 6.533283 11.450110 19.331570 31.186045 47.829759 72.329421
2026-01-11 3.109249 6.213899 11.215840 19.411268 31.965701 49.860665 76.547012
2026-01-18 2.726491 5.696502 10.632060 18.921305 31.882287 50.669528 79.091500
2026-01-25 2.415156 5.270450 10.160184 18.569744 31.977296 51.721838 81.996209
2026-02-01 2.134632 4.867831 9.691627 18.185215 31.987920 52.630091 84.695254
2026-02-08 1.894749 4.513670 9.274761 17.851892 32.049317 53.597123 87.485684
2026-02-15 1.651768 4.123069 8.759102 17.313551 31.746690 53.987630 89.412457
2026-02-22 1.522996 3.950427 8.622098 17.410426 32.466354 55.948455 93.726275
2026-03-01 1.401149 3.777746 8.469992 17.467491 33.114890 57.808736 97.924477
2026-03-08 1.304746 3.649085 8.390100 17.644429 33.963307 59.997232 102.668217
2026-03-15 1.199331 3.487048 8.231803 17.666867 34.544999 61.772849 106.809783
2026-03-22 1.148280 3.445541 8.307985 18.121542 35.878037 64.776242 112.920639
2026-03-29 1.085249 3.367784 8.304282 18.423873 36.953629 67.387949 118.470619